United States Elections Project
   
 

2012 Presidential Nomination Contest Turnout Rates

Last Updated: 2/12/12

Where possible, I link to the canonical source turnout data.

Please see the FAQ for information on the construction of these statistics. The demoninator data reflect the April 1, 2010 Census and July 1, 2010 voting-age population estimates extrapolated to 1st of the month of a 2012 nomination contest, non-citizen estimates from the 2010 American Community Survey (I have not extrapolated citizenship statistics since the 2009 ACS is not comparable as it is weighted to the 2000 census), the year-end 2010 DOJ prison report and the year-end 2010 DOJ probation and parole report.

VEP Total Ballots Cast Turnout Rate is the total ballots cast divided by the voting-eligible population or VEP. In instances where the two political parties did not simultaneously hold their nomination contests, the first instance reflects turnout of the first party to hold their context and the second instance reflects the total turnout of the two parties' contests combined and a turnout rate is reported for the two contests.

Again, please see the FAQ for more information.

Contest dates are obtained from the Green Papers. Dates may be changed without notice. Those wishing to participate are advised to contact their local party.

For comparison purposes, you may wish to consult statistics for the 2008 and 2004 presidential primaries.

Date State

Election
Type

VAP
Estimate
VEP
Estimate
Vote in Democratic Contest
Vote in Republican Contest
Minor
Party
Candidates
Total
Ballots
Cast
VEP
Total
Ballots
Cast
Turnout
Rate
Jan. 3 Iowa Caucus 2,347,573 2,250,423 25,000 122,255   147,255 6.5%
Jan. 10 New Hampshire Primary 1,034,045 1,001,914 61,733 249,655   311,388 31.1%
Jan. 21 South Carolina (a) Primary - R 3,621,841 3,434,551   603,770   603,770 17.6%
Nevada Caucus - D 2,064,446 1,770,920          
Jan. 31 Florida Primary 15,094,059 13,088,171   1,672,352   1,672,352 12.8%
Feb. 4 Nevada Caucus - R 2,065,822 1,772,116   32,894   32,894 1.9%
Feb. 4-11 Maine Caucus - R 1,053,285 1,036,235        
Feb. 7 Colorado Caucus - R 3,926,310 3,603,764   65,535   65,535 1.8%
Minnesota Caucus - R 4,075,214 3,837,237   48,795   48,795 1.3%
Missouri (b) Primary 4,629,154 4,415,112 72,923 251,868 1,440 326,231 7.4%
Feb. 28 Arizona Primary 4,895,942 4,298,024          
Michigan Primary 7,547,125 7,241,314          
Mar. 3 Washington Caucus - R 5,274,878 4,804,839          
Mar. 6 Alaska Caucus - R 545,692 507,496          
Georgia Primary 7,376,260 6,570,595          
Idaho Caucus - R 1,165,366 1,091,171          
Massachusetts Primary 5,207,006 4,720,547          
Minnesota Caucus - D 4,077,730 3,839,640          
North Dakota Caucus 534,626 524,296          
Ohio Primary 8,854,904 8,593,587          
Oklahoma Primary 2,895,300 2,723,104          
Tennessee Primary 4,939,973 4,682,042          
Vermont Primary 498,432 489,108          
Virginia Primary - R 6,316,136 5,763,308          
Mar. 6-10 Wyoming Caucus - R 433,545 420,205          
Mar.7 Hawaii Caucus - D 1,084,589 978,968          
Mar. 10 Kansas Caucus - R 2,170,270 2,041,139          
Mar. 11 Maine Caucus - D 4,516,897 4,443,776          
Mar. 13 Alabama Primary 3,701,519 3,506,778          
Hawaii Caucus - R 1,084,589 978,968          
Mississippi Primary 2,241,703 2,153,040          
Utah Caucus - D 1,970,491 1,829,785          
Mar. 17 Missouri Caucus - R 4,632,138 4,418,020          
Mar. 20 Illinois Primary 9,817,603 8,853,948          
Mar. 24 Louisiana Primary 3,499,821 3,304,711          
Apr. 3 District of Columbia Primary 519,004 470,976          
Maryland Primary 4,521,084 4,062,518          
Wisconsin Primary 4,393,518 4,202,090          
Texas Primary 18,989,257 15,915,758          
Apr. 9 Alaska Caucus - D 546,685 508,444          
Apr. 14 Idaho Caucus - D 1,166,534 1,092,288          
Kansas Caucus - D 2,172,187 2,042,955          
Nebraska Caucus - D 1,398,670 1,331,291          
Wyoming Caucus - D 433,776 420,432          
Apr. 15 Washington  Caucus - D 5,286,850 4,815,828          
Apr. 24 Connecticut Primary 2,787,114 2,528,416          
Delaware Primary 705,473 658,884          
New York Primary 15,214,317 13,211,191          
Pennsylvania Primary 10,007,504 9,624,165          
Rhode Island Primary 833,091 765,324          
May 8 Indiana Primary 4,945,762 4,748,647          
North Carolina Primary 7,457,823 6,923,832          
West Virginia Primary 1,479,209 1,453,549          
May 19 - Jun. 1 Colorado Caucus - D 3,943,045 3,619,245          
May 15 Nebraska Primary 1,398,670 1,331,291          
Oregon Primary 3,028,846 2,802,257          
Mary 22 Arkansas Primary 2,252,326 2,114,416          
Kentucky Primary 3,378,854 3,242,289          
June 5 California Primary 28,631,583 23,265,447          
Montana Primary 778,794 767,519          
New Jersey Primary 6,821,880 5,885,472          
New Mexico Primary 1,589,265 1,443,135          
North Dakota Caucus - D 536,179 525,824          
South Dakota Primary 627,383 611,746          
June 26 Utah Primary - R 1,977,241 1,836,077          

Notes: Many states will not hold a Democratic nominating contest if only one candidate qualified for the ballot. (a) The South Carolina Democratic Party will hold reorganization meetings starting on Feb. 28. (b) The Feb. 7 Missouri primary is non-binding. The Missouri Republican Party will choose convention delegates in a March 17 caucus.